Patriots
The Pentagon claims to have successfully engaged over 80% of SCUD missiles
Iraq launched at Saudi Arabia in the 1992 Gulf War; videotapes of a random
subset of all events show 14 engagements, with 13 misses and one hit. How
likely is this?
For comparison, consider that the probability of flipping a fair coin 26 times
and getting heads on every flip is more likely, at 1.45 x 10-8.
